Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Which presidential candidate will win Florida?

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear PoliticsElectoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 63%
The Republican Party candidate 37%
Someone else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

453

Forecast
Count

1359

Crowd Brier Score

0.7559


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.631
3.
-0.631
4.
-0.628
5.
-0.607

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username