The Economist asks:
Before 5 August 2020, will Mark Esper cease to be the U.S. Secretary of Defense?
Started
Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Defense Secretary Esper's future in the Trump Administration is in question after developments related to protests in the wake of the death of George Floyd (Economist, Defense News, Politico).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 August 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 302 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 872 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |