Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 5 August 2020, will Mark Esper cease to be the U.S. Secretary of Defense?

Defense Secretary Esper's future in the Trump Administration is in question after developments related to protests in the wake of the death of George Floyd (Economist, Defense News, Politico).

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Name Probability
Yes 10%

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