The Mack Institute asks:
Will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law before 1 January 2021?
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
Congress has yet to adopt legislation to create federal safety standards for the testing and/or use of AVs (The Hill, Federation of American Scientists, Congress.gov (House Bill), Congress.gov (Senate Bill)). Legislators are renewing efforts this term, though the COVID-19 pandemic has acted as a "bump in the road" (The Hill, Legal Reader). The date the law and/or standards would take effect is immaterial.
This question is the shorter-term companion of question #1659. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. If this shorter-term question closes Yes, then the longer-term question will be voided.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 181 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 324 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |