The Mack Institute asks:
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Congress has yet to adopt legislation to create federal safety standards for the testing and/or use of AVs (The Hill, Federation of American Scientists, Congress.gov (House Bill), Congress.gov (Senate Bill)). Legislators are renewing efforts the 116th Congress, though the COVID-19 pandemic has acted as a "bump in the road" (The Hill, Legal Reader). The date the law and/or standards would take effect is immaterial.
This question is the longer-term companion of question #1658. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. If the shorter-term question closes Yes, then this longer-term question will be voided.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||137|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 229|
|Number of Forecasts||340|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 637|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|