Started Jun 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?

Congress has yet to adopt legislation to create federal safety standards for the testing and/or use of AVs (The HillFederation of American ScientistsCongress.gov (House Bill)Congress.gov (Senate Bill)). Legislators are renewing efforts the 116th Congress, though the COVID-19 pandemic has acted as a "bump in the road" (The HillLegal Reader). The date the law and/or standards would take effect is immaterial.

This question is the longer-term companion of question #1658. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. If the shorter-term question closes Yes, then this longer-term question will be voided.

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Name Probability
Yes 68%

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