Which presidential candidate will win Wisconsin?

Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear Politics, Electoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 93%
The Republican Party candidate 7%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 316
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1085
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.135
3.
-0.135
4.
-0.134
5.
-0.134

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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