How many total cases of COVID-19 will be reported in Orange County, Florida, as of 30 July 2020?

Started Jul 03, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 30, 2020 06:59AM UTC

As part of the National Basketball Association's (NBA's) plan to finish the current season, all games will be played at the Disney World campus in Orange County, Florida (Wall Street Journal). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by the Florida Department of Health as of 30 July 2020 at 5:00PM ET (Florida Department of Health). Zoom in and click the county on the map that reads "Orlando." In the pop-up window titled "CASE DATA FOR ORANGE," the data can be found on the first line, "Total Cases."

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The question closed "Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 15,000 0%
Between 15,000 and 20,000, inclusive 0%
More than 20,000 but fewer than 25,000 0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive 100%
More than 30,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 116
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 538
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.212
2.
-0.176
3.
-0.174
5.
-0.169

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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