What will be the closing stock price of Facebook on 5 August 2020?

Started Jul 08, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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The social media giant’s next quarterly earnings release is scheduled for 29 July 2020 amid an advertiser boycott that began in June over hate speech monitoring on the site (Facebook, Politico). The outcome will be determined using the closing price on 5 August 2020 as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). On 7 July 2020 the closing price of Facebook stock was $240.86.

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This is a companion to the binomial #1690.


The question closed "More than $230.00 but less than $260.00" with a closing date of 5 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $200.00 0%
Between $200.00 and $230.00, inclusive 0%
More than $230.00 but less than $260.00 99%
Between $260.00 and $290.00, inclusive 1%
More than $290.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 547
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.043578
2.
-0.041239
3.
-0.038311
4.
-0.037163
5.
-0.036

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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