Started Jul 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will China's Three Gorges Dam fail before 1 October 2020?

Recent flooding has devastated large areas of China, drawing attention to the safety and efficacy of the massive Three Gorges Dam (Economist, The Interpreter, Reuters). For the purposes of this question, a failure would be the actual "sudden, rapid, and uncontrolled release of impounded water" (U.S. Forest Service).

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Name Probability
Yes 1%

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