Started
Jul 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
•
Closed
Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:
Will China's Three Gorges Dam fail before 1 October 2020?
Recent flooding has devastated large areas of China, drawing attention to the safety and efficacy of the massive Three Gorges Dam (Economist, The Interpreter, Reuters). For the purposes of this question, a failure would be the actual "sudden, rapid, and uncontrolled release of impounded water" (U.S. Forest Service).
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NOTE 24 August 2020: Mere use of the dam spillway alone would not count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0.00% | |
No | 100.00% |
Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 341 |
average for questions older than 6 months: 258 | |
Number of Forecasts | 692 |
average for questions older than 6 months: 686 |
Accuracy of participants | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | about average |