The Economist asks:
Will China's Three Gorges Dam fail before 1 October 2020?
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Recent flooding has devastated large areas of China, drawing attention to the safety and efficacy of the massive Three Gorges Dam (Economist, The Interpreter, Reuters). For the purposes of this question, a failure would be the actual "sudden, rapid, and uncontrolled release of impounded water" (U.S. Forest Service).
NOTE 24 August 2020: Mere use of the dam spillway alone would not count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||341|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 215|
|Number of Forecasts||692|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 605|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|