The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Tesla recently announced it will manufacture the Cybertruck at its new factory location in Austin, TX (Digital Trends, The Verge, Teslarati, Inverse). The outcome will be determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found here: https://ir.tesla.com/financial-information/quarterly-results.

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The question closed "Fewer than 25,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 25,000 80%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive 20%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000 0%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive 0%
More than 250,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 178
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 546
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.112487
3.
-0.106541
4.
-0.104931
5.
-0.096323

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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