Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

Tesla recently announced it will manufacture the Cybertruck at its new factory location in Austin, TX (Digital Trends, The Verge, Teslarati, Inverse). The outcome will be determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found here: https://ir.tesla.com/financial-information/quarterly-results.

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Name Probability
Fewer than 25,000 82%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive 17%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000 1%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive 0%
More than 250,000 0%

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