When will opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya return to Belarus?
Started
Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 16, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 16, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya fled Belarus shortly after a presidential election marred by rigging accusations (NPR, Kyiv Post, CNN).
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The question closed "Not before 17 October 2020" with a closing date of 17 October 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 4 September 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 4 September and 16 October 2020 | 0% | |
| Not before 17 October 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 185 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 458 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
