Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 16, 2020 07:01AM UTC

When will opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya return to Belarus?

Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya fled Belarus shortly after a presidential election marred by rigging accusations (NPR, Kyiv Post, CNN).

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The question closed "Not before 17 October 2020" with a closing date of 17 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 4 September 2020 0%
Between 4 September and 16 October 2020 0%
Not before 17 October 2020 100%

No. of
Forecasters

185

Forecast
Count

458

Crowd Brier Score

0.0023


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003
2.
-0.003
3.
-0.003
4.
-0.003
5.
-0.003