Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many total cases of COVID-19 will the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) report for Canada as of 31 December 2020?
Started
Oct 08, 2020 10:37AM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2020 11:00PM UTC
As of 6 October 2020, PHAC reported 171,323 confirmed cases for Canada (PHAC). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by PHAC "as of" 31 December 2020 and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch.
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The question closed "428,308 or more cases" with a closing date of 8 December 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 256,985 | 0% | |
| Between 256,985 and 342,646 cases, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 342,646 but fewer than 428,308 cases | 0% | |
| 428,308 or more cases | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 133 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 613 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
