Question 6 of 29 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Oct 08, 2020 10:37AM UTC   •   Closing Dec 31, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many total cases of COVID-19 will the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) report for Canada as of 31 December 2020?

As of 6 October 2020, PHAC reported 171,323 confirmed cases for Canada (PHAC). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by PHAC "as of" 31 December 2020 and inclusive of cases reported before this question's launch.

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Name Probability
Fewer than 256,985 0%
Between 256,985 and 342,646 cases, inclusive 33%
More than 342,646 but fewer than 428,308 cases 62%
428,308 or more cases 5%

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