Question 7 of 48 in In the News 2021
Started Oct 09, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

When will the 7-day rolling average of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC) next reach or exceed 1,500?


The outcome will be determined using data provided by the NYC Department of Health's COVID-19 data page at Under the graph for "Daily Counts," select "7-day average cases." The 7-day rolling average of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in NYC last reached 1,500 on 5 May 2020. This question would resolve as of the date for which 1,500 or more cases are reported irrespective of the date when that data for that date are updated. Resolution for this question will be entered no later than 7 March 2021.

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Name Probability
Before 1 November 2020 0%
Between 1 November 2020 and 30 November 2020 18%
Between 1 December 2020 and 31 December 2020 32%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 January 2021 33%
Not before 1 February 2021 17%

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