Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

As of 23 October 2020, 3 countries have more than one hundred thousand deaths from COVID-19: the U.S., Brazil, and India (France24). The outcome of this question will be determined using data reported by the World Health Organization at approximately 5:00PM ET on 30 April 2021 (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard).

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The question closed "7 or 8" with a closing date of 30 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
3 0%
4 0%
5 or 6 0%
7 or 8 100%
9 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

290

Forecast
Count

1685

Crowd Brier Score

0.229


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.305
2.
-0.285
3.
-0.254
4.
-0.248
5.
-0.247

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