When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report more than 20 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 for the South-East Asia Region?

Started Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 26, 2021 02:00PM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the World Health Organization (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard).

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The question closed "Between 1 March 2021 and 30 April 2021" with a closing date of 26 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 January 2021 0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 28 February 2021 0%
Between 1 March 2021 and 30 April 2021 100%
Between 1 May 2021 and 30 June 2021 0%
Not before 1 July 2021 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 95
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 537
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.666
2.
-0.631
3.
-0.605
4.
-0.6
5.
-0.583

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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