Who will win the presidential election in Argentina?

Started Sep 08, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2015 01:00AM UTC

Elections are scheduled for 25 October, with a runoff, if necessary, scheduled for 22 November (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/11/world/americas/primaries-in-argentina-point-to-a-close-presidential-race.html , http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21660149-voters-are-about-start-choosing-next-president-scion-and-heir ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Someone else 0%
Sergio Massa 0%
Mauricio Macri 49%
Daniel Scioli 51%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 231
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 686
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.089091
2.
-0.76058
3.
-0.7479
4.
-0.715993
5.
-0.711957

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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