Started May 24, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 01, 2016 01:00PM UTC

What will happen to the European Union's sectoral sanctions against Russia, currently set to expire in July 2016?

This question resolved on 1 July 2016: The sanctions have been extended for six months (European Council, Wall Street Journal, ABC News) The sectoral sanctions are described under the heading "Economic Sanctions-Measures Targeting Exchanges with Russia in Specific Economic Sectors" in this EU document. They do not include the sanctions targeting individuals or the broad sanctions against Crimea. In the spring of 2015, the EU tied the lifting of these sanctions to the full implementation of the Minsk agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and in December 2015 EU leaders agreed to extend the sanctions until at least the end of July 2016 (Reuters). Recommended Questions: Will the European Union suspend any of Poland's membership rights in 2016? Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017? How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The sanctions will be extended 95%
Some of the sanctions will be extended, but others will be relaxed or allowed to expire 5%
The sanctions will expire 0%

No. of
Forecasters

301

Forecast
Count

599

Crowd Brier Score

0.0692


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.096
3.
-0.095
4.
-0.095

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