Started Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia?

The future of Tunisia's democracy is uncertain after President Kais Saied invoked emergency powers, suspended parliament, and dismissed the prime minister (Reuters, Middle East Eye, Guardian, Al Jazeera).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Tags
Challenges
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 139
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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