Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia?

Started Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

The future of Tunisia's democracy is uncertain after President Kais Saied invoked emergency powers, suspended parliament, and dismissed the prime minister (Reuters, Middle East Eye, Guardian, Al Jazeera).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 139
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000376
3.
-0.000376
4.
-0.000376
5.
-0.000376

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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