Question 5 of 6 in The Sky News Challenge
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC

asks:

Will Sir Keir Starmer face a formal challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party before 4 April 2022?

Sir Keir was elected to replace Jeremy Corbyn as the leader of the UK's Labour Party in April 2020 and has faced dissention within his party's ranks (Sky News, Guardian, Sky News). The Labour Party requires that a challenger or challengers be nominated by 20% of all Labour Party MPs (Institute for Government, Labour Party Rule Book 2020, see Chapter 4, Clause II).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Current Crowd Forecast

6%

Chance
+0.00% in last 24 hours

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username