Question 4 of 112 in In the News 2021
Started Sep 08, 2021 04:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?

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Health  
Challenges

The outcome will be determined using data as provided by 91-DIVOC (91-DIVOC, parameters are set with the link). Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 22 October 2021.

*This question uses an experimental framing. Please read each answer bin carefully before making a forecast.

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NOTE 10 September 2021: The question is concerned with the average over the past seven days, as reflected in the resolution source (e.g., 23.7 on 2 September 2021).

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes, having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts 5.00% -1.00%
Yes, but without having first fallen below 18.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts 42.00% -4.00%
No, having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts 53.00% +5.00%
No, but without having first risen above 28.5 new cases per 100k people in Massachusetts 0.00% +0.00%

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