Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 7 September 2021, Biden's approval rating was 45.3%. The data for 31 March 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 4 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Lower than 40.0% 12.00% +1.00%
Between 40.0% and 45.0%, inclusive 55.00% +2.00%
Higher than 45.0% but lower than 50.0% 30.00% -3.00%
Between 50.0% and 55.0%, inclusive 3.00% +0.00%
Higher than 55.0% 0.00% +0.00%

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