The Economist asks:
What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 7 September 2021, Biden's approval rating was 45.3%. The data for 31 March 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 4 April 2022.
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The question closed "Between 40.0% and 45.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 March 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 40.0% | 1% | |
| Between 40.0% and 45.0%, inclusive | 99% | |
| Higher than 45.0% but lower than 50.0% | 0% | |
| Between 50.0% and 55.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 55.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 305 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1554 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
