Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the average temperature at Dubai International Airport between 1 May 2022 and 30 September 2022?

The outcome will be determined using data from Meteostat (Meteostat). On the page, set the date range for "2021-05-01 - 2021-09-30" in the field above the "Avg. Pressure" field and click the "Export" button. The average of the daily averages ("tavg" in the file) will be used for resolution. Between 1 May 2020 and 30 September 2020, the average temperature was 35.48497 degrees Celsius (Meteostat - DBX 2020). For the same period in 2019, the average temperature was and 35.63268 degrees Celsius (Meteostat - DBX 2021). This question will be resolved with data available on 7 October 2022.

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The question closed "Between 34.5 and 35.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 34.5 degrees Celsius 3%
Between 34.5 and 35.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive 77%
More than 35.5 and but less than 36.5 degrees Celsius 16%
Between 36.5 and 37.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive 3%
More than 37.5 degrees Celsius 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 103
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 488
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.303
2.
-0.2
3.
-0.189
4.
-0.185
5.
-0.134

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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