Question 39 of 90 in In the News 2022
Started Oct 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will total cases of COVID-19 in Canada reach 2 million or more, according to the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC)?

While COVID-19 cases in Canada have begun to fall again, concerns remain for a resurgence with the onset of winter (CBC). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by PHAC (PHAC). Daily number data can be obtained by clicking the ".CSV" button to the right of the primary graphic on the linked PHAC page. See daily number data ("numtoday") associated with daily entries for "Canada" under "prname." The question will close on available data no later than 26 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Before 24 December 2021 0.00% +0.00%
Between 24 December and 22 January 2022 9.00% +0.00%
Between 23 January 2022 and 21 February 2022 53.00% +19.00%
Between 22 February and 23 March 2022 29.00% -6.00%
Between 24 March 2022 and 22 April 2022 6.00% -8.00%
Not before 23 April 2022 3.00% -5.00%

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