How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 worldwide will be reported as of 28 July 2022?

Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). The data for 28 July 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 July 2022.

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The question closed "Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 6.0 million 0%
Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive 100%
More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.0 million 0%
Between 7.0 million and 7.5 million, inclusive 0%
More than 7.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million 0%
8.0 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 671
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.209
2.
-0.189
4.
-0.183
5.
-0.162

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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