Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 worldwide will be reported as of 28 July 2022?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). The data for 28 July 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 July 2022.

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The question closed "Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 6.0 million 0%
Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive 100%
More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.0 million 0%
Between 7.0 million and 7.5 million, inclusive 0%
More than 7.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million 0%
8.0 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 671
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.209
2.
-0.189
4.
-0.183
5.
-0.162

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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