Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What percentage of South Africa's population will be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 September 2022?

The question will be suspended on 31 August 2022 and the outcome determined using the latest data as reported by Our World in Data for the "People fully vaccinated" metric, relative to population, as displayed here at approximately 5:00PM ET on 2 September 2022: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations?country=ZAF. For example, South Africa's share of the population fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 December 2021 was 24.25%. If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

NOTE 14 June 2022: The "People fully vaccinated" metric is now called "Share of people with a complete initial protocol." The full percentage appears by hovering your cursor over the chart.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 35.00% 16.00% +0.00% +1.00% +16.00%
Between 35.00% and 50.00%, inclusive 84.00% +0.00% -1.00% -15.00%
More than 50.00% but less than 65.00% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
Between 65.00% and 80.00%, inclusive 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
More than 80.00% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username