When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next be 50,000 or lower?
The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the CDC (CDC). The red line is the 7-day moving average of cases, which last which was last under 50,000 on 22 July 2021. Due to reporting lags, data for specific dates will not be evaluated for resolution until at least five calendar days later (e.g., data for 1 January 2022 wouldn't be evaluated until 6 January 2022), and data will be accessed for resolution no later than 5 August 2022. If the named sourced changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Before 1 February 2022||0.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022||13.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022||50.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022||27.00%||+0.00%|
|Not before 1 August 2022||10.00%||+0.00%|