Will the Conservative Party hold a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson in 2022?
Prime Minister Johnson is facing pushback from within his own Conservative Party in the wake of various scandals, including challenges to his leadership of the party (Sky News, France 24). If 15% of the Conservative Party members in parliament submit letters of no confidence to the "1922 Committee," a party leadership vote would be triggered (Sky News).
The question closed "Yes, but it will not pass" with a closing date of 6 June 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Yes, and it will pass||10%|
|Yes, but it will not pass||26%|
|Number of Forecasters||216|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 223|
|Number of Forecasts||736|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 548|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|