Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 July 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 24 February 2022, Biden's approval rating was 42.1%. The data for 31 July 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 5 August 2022.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower than 35.0% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive 63.00% +1.00% +9.00% +41.00%
Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0% 37.00% -1.00% -9.00% -40.00%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
Higher than 50.0% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username