Will Marine Le Pen place either first or second in the 2022 French presidential election?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Apr 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The French presidential election is scheduled for 10 April 2022 (Euronews). Results of a runoff would be immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 April 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 145 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 397 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
