Will the FAO Food Price Index for April 2022 reach or exceed 150.0?

Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 30 April 2022 and the outcome determined using data as provided by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (FAO, see table near bottom of page). The value for April 2021 was 122.1.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 May 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 130
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 358
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.043
3.
-0.043
4.
-0.042
5.
-0.04

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username