Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 15 May 2022?
The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 May 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||135|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 223|
|Number of Forecasts||386|
|average for questions in their first 6 months: 548|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|