Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between 8 March 2022 and 25 May 2022, will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen 2.4 million or more travelers in a single day?

The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 May 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 140
average for questions in their first 6 months: 223
Number of Forecasts 833
average for questions in their first 6 months: 548
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.529
2.
-1.486
3.
-1.443
4.
-1.369
5.
-1.289

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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