Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 07, 2022 06:26PM UTC

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed by the Senate before 1 May 2022?

On 25 February 2022, President Joe Biden announced Ketanji Brown Jackson as his choice to replace the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer (The Hill).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 147
average for questions in their first 6 months: 223
Number of Forecasts 366
average for questions in their first 6 months: 548
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.038
3.
-0.036
4.
-0.034
5.
-0.026

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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