Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed by the Senate before 1 May 2022?

Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 07, 2022 06:26PM UTC

On 25 February 2022, President Joe Biden announced Ketanji Brown Jackson as his choice to replace the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer (The Hill).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 147
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 366
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.0381
3.
-0.03637
4.
-0.034291
5.
-0.026135

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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