Between 10 March 2022 and 29 April 2022, will the average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US be higher than 4.15%?

Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC

The outcome will be determined using Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage average data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 17 March 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 53.00%
No 47.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.54755
2.
-0.50835
4.
-0.48585
5.
-0.40255

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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