Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
•
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Between 10 March 2022 and 29 April 2022, will the average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US be higher than 4.15%?
The outcome will be determined using Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage average data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 17 March 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.00% | |
| No | 47.00% |
Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| average for questions in their first 6 months: 223 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 78 |
| average for questions in their first 6 months: 548 | |
| Accuracy of participants | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | about average |
