The Economist asks:

Will a Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 15 June 2022?

Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 21, 2022 08:26PM UTC

After Boeing's first attempt to get its new spacecraft to dock with the ISS failed, the company is planning another attempt in May 2022 (EconomistSpaceflight Now, Space).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 20 May 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 250
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.556445
2.
-1.343209
4.
-1.273408
5.
-1.196912

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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