David Epstein asks:
What will be Twitter's end-of-day market capitalization on 26 August 2022?
Closed Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Elon Musk caused a stir by announcing that he had bought 9.2% of all outstanding shares of Twitter, leading to speculation that he may be planning a move to change the organization (The Verge, NBC News). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure as reported by CNBC after the NYSE closes on Friday 26 August 2022 (CNBC).
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The question closed "Between $24 billion and $32 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 26 August 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $24 billion | 0% | |
| Between $24 billion and $32 billion, inclusive | 65% | |
| More than $32 billion but less than $40 billion | 31% | |
| Between $40 billion and $48 billion, inclusive | 4% | |
| More than $48 billion but less than $56 billion | 0% | |
| Between $56 billion and $64 billion, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $64 billion | 0% | |
| Twitter will cease to be a publicly traded company on or before 26 August 2022 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 64 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 634 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
