Started Jul 12, 2022 09:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the decadal average of annual deaths caused by drought in the world from 2041 to 2050, according to Our World in Data (OWiD)?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the OWiD (OWiD, see "Drought"). For 2020, there were 45 deaths caused by drought.

This question will be suspended on 15 October 2022. While forecasts on this question may be evaluated in the years to come, they will not be scored.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 5,000 51.53% +0.00% +3.97% +1.33%
Between 5,000 and 40,000, inclusive 18.35% +0.00% +3.22% +5.35%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 200,000 12.94% +0.00% +2.63% +3.94%
Between 200,000 and 800,000, inclusive 9.12% +0.00% -3.69% -3.88%
More than 800,000 8.06% +0.00% -6.13% -6.74%

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