What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 14 October 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

Started Sep 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 14, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 13 October 2022 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 28 August 2022, Biden's approval rating was 42.3%. The data for 14 October 2022 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 17 October 2022.

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The question closed "Higher than 42.0% but lower than 46.0%" with a closing date of 14 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 38.0% 1%
Between 38.0% and 42.0%, inclusive 13%
Higher than 42.0% but lower than 46.0% 84%
Between 46.0% and 50.0%, inclusive 2%
Higher than 50.0% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 200
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 797
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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