Started Oct 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the end-of-day price of Bitcoin on 31 October 2022?

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The outcome will be determined using the last price dated 31 October 2022 (PT) as reported by CoinDesk (CoinDesk, set chart to "1W").

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The question closed "Between $20,000.00 and $24,000.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $12,000.00 0%
Between $12,000.00 and $16,000.00, inclusive 1%
More than $16,000.00 but less than $20,000.00 20%
Between $20,000.00 and $24,000.00, inclusive 76%
More than $24,000.00 but less than $28,000.00 2%
Between $28,000.00 and $32,000.00, inclusive 1%
More than $32,000.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 170
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 595
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 519
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
alanaguidette
-0.14
2.
Subhenau
-0.116
3.
mattdid
-0.082
4.
David_Rifkin
-0.075
5.
JustineB
-0.07

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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