How many cumulative confirmed cases of monkeypox will be reported in the world as of 20 November 2022?
Closed Nov 21, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Since early May 2022, monkeypox infections spread beyond the west and central African countries where it is endemic (Pan American Health Organization, CNBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 20 November 2022 and the outcome determined using data through and including 20 November 2022 as first reported by Our World in Data (OWiD) (OWiD). As of 5 October 2022, there were 70,993 cumulative confirmed cases of monkeypox in the world.
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The question closed "Between 76,000 and 88,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 76,000 | 2% | |
| Between 76,000 and 88,000, inclusive | 95% | |
| More than 88,000 but fewer than 100,000 | 2% | |
| Between 100,000 and 112,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 112,000 but fewer than 124,000 | 0% | |
| 124,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 120 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 367 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
