Will Pedro Castillo cease to be the president of the Peru before 1 January 2024?

Started Nov 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2022 06:50PM UTC

Left-wing President José Pedro Castillo Terrones won a close election in 2021 and has faced various challenges while in office (AP, US News & World Report, Voice of America).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 61.10%
No 38.90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 19
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 43
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 512
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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