The Economist asks:
Will SpaceX's first Starship orbital flight test be launched successfully before 1 March 2023?
Started
Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Tags
SpaceX is looking to launch its first orbital flight test as soon as December 2022, though obstacles remain (Economist, CNET, CNBC, Space.com). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Space.com).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13.08% | |
| No | 86.92% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 312 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 202 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 714 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 511 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
