Started Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will SpaceX's first Starship orbital flight test be launched successfully before 1 March 2023?

SpaceX is looking to launch its first orbital flight test as soon as December 2022, though obstacles remain (Economist, CNET, CNBC, A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 26.94% -0.30% -2.88% -15.10%
No 73.06% +0.30% +2.88% +15.10%

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