How many acres will be consumed by reported wildfires in the US in 2023?
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The US is entering 2023 with a third year of La Niña and drought affecting various parts of the country (FOX Weather, San Francisco Standard, NIFC - Outlooks). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) (NIFC - National Fire News, NIFC - Statistics, see Wildland Fire Summaries). In 2021, reported wildfires consumed 7,125,643 acres in the US (NIFC Wildland Fire Summary and Statistics Annual Report 2021, NIFC - Wildfires and Acres).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 5.0 million | 15.00% | +0.00% | +1.00% | +0.00% |
| Between 5.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive | 24.00% | +0.00% | +1.00% | +5.00% |
| More than 6.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million | 30.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% | +10.00% |
| Between 8.0 million and 9.5 million, inclusive | 18.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | -7.00% |
| More than 9.5 million but fewer than 11.0 million | 12.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | -6.00% |
| Between 11.0 million and 12.5 million, inclusive | 1.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | -2.00% |
| More than 12.5 million | 0.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | +0.00% |