UBS asks:

What will be the price of bitcoin on 30 June 2023?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using the last price dated 30 June 2023 (PT) as reported by CoinDesk (CoinDesk, set chart to "1M").

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The question closed "More than $28,000.00 but less than $32,000.00" with a closing date of 30 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $8,000.00 0%
Between $8,000.00 and $12,000.00, inclusive 0%
More than $12,000.00 but less than $16,000.00 1%
Between $16,000.00 and $20,000.00, inclusive 1%
More than $20,000.00 but less than $24,000.00 4%
Between $24,000.00 and $28,000.00, inclusive 15%
More than $28,000.00 but less than $32,000.00 72%
$32,000.00 or more 7%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 164
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 960
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.437
2.
-0.398
3.
-0.37
4.
-0.337
5.
-0.321

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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