When will Jair Bolsonaro return to Brazil?
Started
Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 30, 2023 09:37AM UTC
Closed Mar 30, 2023 09:37AM UTC
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Tags
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro left Brazil for Florida before President Lula's inauguration on 1 January 2023 (CNN). Brazil's Supreme Court is investigating actions by Bolsonaro supporters at various government buildings in Brasília on 8 January 2023 (AP, NPR).
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The question closed "Between 23 March 2023 and 22 May 2023" with a closing date of 30 March 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 20 February 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 20 February 2023 and 22 March 2023 | 3% | |
| Between 23 March 2023 and 22 May 2023 | 57% | |
| Not before 23 May 2023 | 40% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 215 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 175 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 605 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
