What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 1 May 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 30 April 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 21 January 2023, Biden's approval rating was 42.2%. The data for 1 May 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 3 May 2023.
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The question closed "Higher than 42.0% but lower than 46.0%" with a closing date of 1 May 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Lower than 38.0% | 1% | |
Between 38.0% and 42.0%, inclusive | 13% | |
Higher than 42.0% but lower than 46.0% | 85% | |
Between 46.0% and 50.0%, inclusive | 1% | |
Higher than 50.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 61 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 306 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |