What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 24 May 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed May 23, 2023 11:59PM UTC
The question will be suspended on 23 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 15 March 2023, Biden's approval rating was 43.7%. The data for 24 May 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 26 May 2023.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 24 May 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Lower than 39.0%||2%|
|Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive||36%|
|Higher than 42.0% but lower than 45.0%||60%|
|Between 45.0% and 48.0%, inclusive||1%|
|Higher than 48.0%||1%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||101|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 163|
|Number of Forecasts||411|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 361|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||better than average|