What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 24 May 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?

Started Mar 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 23, 2023 11:59PM UTC

The question will be suspended on 23 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 15 March 2023, Biden's approval rating was 43.7%. The data for 24 May 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 26 May 2023.

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The question closed "Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 24 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 39.0% 2%
Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive 36%
Higher than 42.0% but lower than 45.0% 60%
Between 45.0% and 48.0%, inclusive 1%
Higher than 48.0% 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 101
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 411
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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