What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 24 May 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed May 23, 2023 11:59PM UTC
The question will be suspended on 23 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). As of 15 March 2023, Biden's approval rating was 43.7%. The data for 24 May 2023 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 26 May 2023.
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The question closed "Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 24 May 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 39.0% | 2% | |
| Between 39.0% and 42.0%, inclusive | 36% | |
| Higher than 42.0% but lower than 45.0% | 60% | |
| Between 45.0% and 48.0%, inclusive | 1% | |
| Higher than 48.0% | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 101 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 163 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 411 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 361 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
