UBS asks:

How many total vehicles will be sold in the US between June and August 2023?

Started Apr 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

While inventories improved in the first quarter of 2023, rising interest rates are putting pressure on US auto sales (US News & World Report, CBS News). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2023 and the outcome determined by adding monthly Total Vehicle Sales data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) for June, July, and August 2023 once August 2023 data are first available (FRED, hover cursor over chart for data).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 3.0 million 4.00% +0.00% +0.00% +2.00%
Between 3.0 million and 3.4 million, inclusive 9.00% +0.00% -5.00% -10.00%
More than 3.4 million but fewer than 3.8 million 43.00% +3.00% +1.00% -3.00%
Between 3.8 million and 4.2 million, inclusive 39.00% -2.00% +4.00% +12.00%
More than 4.2 million 5.00% -1.00% +0.00% -1.00%

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